Even as regular climate diplomacy has resumed between the U.S. and China, officials and observers of both countries have become markedly more pessimistic about the feasibility of carving out a separate lane for climate progress amid rising tensions. That may imperil our chances of a timely energy transition.
United States
The Biden administration seems determined to ensure that its foreign policy achievements not be undone by any potential Republican successors. The administration might just pull off that goal, largely because the foundation of Biden’s foreign policy is, in turn, built on the foundation of his Republican predecessor: Donald Trump.
Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the United Arab Emirates has worked proactively to embrace Russian business while hoping to evade pressure from the U.S. and its allies. Despite narratives of the UAE and Saudi Arabia drifting from the U.S. orbit, the Gulf states continue to recognize their dependency on U.S. security ties.