Honor guards stand at the Pentagon Memorial on the 10th anniversary of the September 11 attacks at the Pentagon, Arlington, VA, Sept. 11, 2011 (AP photo by Charles Dharapak).

Hide in Plain Sight: The Strategic Challenge of ‘Gray Swans’

By Michael J. Mazarr
, , Report
Conventional wisdom holds that the biggest threats to strategy come from sudden and unexpected events, or “black swans.” But too little attention has been paid to a more common problem: “gray swans,” risks that are anticipated but that remain fundamentally improbable, and for that reason are disregarded.
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Sri Lankan ethnic Tamil dancers from Northern Province perform during Independence Day celebrations, Colombo, Sri Lanka, Feb. 4, 2015 (AP photo by Eranga Jayawardena).
Country Report

Moment of Truth: Sri Lanka’s Chance for Reconciliation

By Charu Lata Hogg
, , Report
Editor’s note: It came to our attention after this report was published that it contained several passages closely resembling or directly duplicating previously published work by other authors, as well as previously published work by the author. After initially amending the report to include the missing attributions, we subsequently decided to remove the article. WPR regrets the error, and we apologize to the authors concerned and our readers.
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Indian paramilitary soldiers march during the Republic Day parade in New Delhi, India, Jan. 26, 2015 (AP photo by Manish Swarup).
Special Report

Back in Business: Modi’s Fresh Start for India

By The Editors
, , Report
When Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and the BJP decisively won last year’s elections, many were worried about the potential for interreligious tensions. But so far, Modi has allayed those concerns while bringing a new dynamism to India’s foreign policy, as the articles in this report make clear.
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Skyline of Amman, Jordan, Nov. 22, 2013 (photo by Flickr user mahmoodphoto licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 2.0 Generic license).
Country Report

Oasis or Mirage? Jordan’s Unlikely Stability in a Changing Middle East

By Curtis R. Ryan
, , Report
The uprisings beginning in 2010, known as the Arab Spring, shook the Middle East to its foundations. Yet Jordan appeared to be a virtual oasis of calm in the midst of turmoil. In a volatile neighborhood, Jordanian stability remains nothing short of remarkable. But is Jordan an oasis or a mirage?
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Construction workers speculate what Cuba’s President Raul Castro will announce in an upcoming live, nationally broadcast speech in Havana, Cuba, Dec. 17, 2014 (AP photo by Ramon Espinosa).
Special Report

Getting to Yes: Cuba’s Slow Path to Reform

By The Editors
, , Report
The announcement that the U.S. will normalize relations with Cuba came as a surprise, but Cuba’s opening has been years in the making. This report includes WPR’s coverage of the island nation going back to 2007, tracing the post-Fidel transition and Raul Castro’s slow but steady reforms.
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Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban delivers his speech during a ceremony to mark the 57th anniversary of the 1956 uprising in Budapest, Hungary, Oct. 23, 2013. (AP Photo/MTI, Tibor Illyes).
Country Report

Illiberal Democracy: How Hungary’s Orban Is Testing Europe

By Andrew MacDowall
, , Report
Recently a country that is both a NATO ally and a member of the European Union has come under fire for rejecting core Western values: Hungary. What has gone wrong? Most of Hungary’s growing band of international critics lay the blame squarely at the door of Prime Minister Viktor Orban.
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Iranian President Hassan Rouhani, Astrakhan, Russia, Sept. 29, 2014 (Photo from the website of the Russian president).
Special Report

Breakout Capacity: Iran in the Rouhani Era

By The Editors
, , Report
Hassan Rouhani assumed the presidency of Iran last year amid great expectations for reform at home and renewed engagement abroad. From nuclear negotiations to the crises in Iraq and Syria, Rouhani’s term has so far been a mixed bag, offering hope but not yet transformation, as the articles in this report show.
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A Chadian soldier patrols the streets of Gao, northern Mali, Jan. 29, 2013 (AP photo by Jerome Delay).
Country Report

Clay Feet: Chad’s Surprising Rise and Enduring Weaknesses

By Celeste Hicks
, , Report
Chad has begun to emerge as a regional leader, playing key roles in Mali and the Central African Republic. However, this masks an ongoing political stagnation and the failure of the government to make any serious improvements in living conditions for the vast majority of the population.
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South Korea’s Yonggwang Nuclear Power Plant, Feb. 25, 2013 (photo by Flickr user Korea Yonggwang NPP, licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 2.0 Generic license).
Special Report

After Scarcity: Global Energy’s New Realities

By The Editors
, , Report
Dropping oil prices and alternative sources have resulted in dramatic changes for the global energy sector. As new players and relationships emerge, traditional powers, particularly Russia, still wield energy as a geostrategic weapon. This report covers the politics of energy over the past year.
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Panama City skyline, Oct. 15, 2012 (photo by Flickr user Jim Nix licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 2.0 Generic license).
Country Report

Latin American Tiger: Can Panama Get Expansion Right?

Panama’s new government has set its sights on weeding out corruption, which has marred the country’s efforts to become the Singapore of the Western Hemisphere. The economy is roaring. The question is whether politics—and in particular corruption—will ultimately drag Panama down.
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