The US, China, and Russia are all going through civil-military crises.

A civil-military relations crisis in the U.S. is actually the latest in a recent series of similar crises affecting the world’s major powers, including Russia and China. That raises the question: Is this simply a random series of unconnected events that all just happen to center around defense ministers? Or is there a deeper cause?

Colombian President Gustavo Petro speaks during a ceremony in Bogota, Colombia.

No one paying attention would disagree with Colombian President Gustavo Petro’s assessment that the “war on drugs” has failed miserably. But highlighting the failure of previous strategies to tackle drug trafficking does nothing to protect the embattled Petro from what has happened to Colombia’s cocaine trade since he took office.

Italian prime minister Meloni with Hungarian prime minister Orban, two far-right leaders in Europe.

At a far-right conference in Budapest this month, Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni delivered a speech bashing a supposedly “woke” left. But the pro-European Meloni showed more caution in discussing the EU with the famously Euroskeptic Viktor Orban, hinting at divisions between right-wing movements often viewed as natural allies.

Human rights are a major concern amid Russia's war in Ukraine.

Kyiv’s reaction to a recent report showing that an errant Ukrainian missile was likely responsible for a deadly strike on a Ukrainian town highlighted its defensiveness in response to human rights critiques of its war effort. While this is unsurprising and even understandable, it is not actually needed and may hurt more than it helps.

Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador.

Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador’s international agenda in the month of September has been emblematic of his foreign policy across his entire five years in office: ineffective, inconsistent and often invisible. That lack of focus is why AMLO has seen many of his foreign policy sorties simply fall to the wayside.

Russia's war in Ukraine.

Many observers have turned a critical eye to pre-invasion predictions about Russia’s war on Ukraine, given how wrong they turned out to be. But the reason they were wrong is inherent to the nature of warfare itself. Our ability to accurately predict the course of a war is compromised by the inherent uncertainty of war.

A box depicting a product from Mexico, which just overtook China as the US's top trade partner.

Earlier this year, the global economy experienced an important milestone that, though it went largely unnoticed, scholars may look back on as a marker of the beginning of a new era, with economic but also geopolitical significance: For the first four months of 2023, Mexico surpassed China as the top trade partner of the United States.

Spain's Sanchez and Germany's Scholz may have created a new formula for center-left parties.

For a political movement whose demise has been predicted so often, social democracy’s survival has at times seemed to defy logic. But recent electoral successes of center-left parties in Germany and Spain along with the Labour Party’s resurgence in the U.K. indicate that reports of social democracy’s death might be exaggerated.

In China, Xi's plan for the economy involves "common prosperity."

In 2021, Xi Jinping called for “Common Prosperity” as a new key goal of Chinese-style modernization. Observers speculated he was launching a populist, left-wing agenda that would spread wealth in China more equitably. But Common Prosperity was never intended to be a Robin Hood-like intervention to take from the rich to help the poor.

Brazil's G20 leadership agenda was set by President Lula da Silva.

Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva used the recent G-20 Summit to announce that his key focus for Brazil’s G-20 presidency, which begins in December, will be ending global hunger by 2030. Unfortunately, Lula’s other comments at the summit ensured that nobody paid attention to or cared about his agenda for the coming year.

Former Vice President Mike Pence, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and businessman Vivek Ramaswamy stand on stage.

For the current GOP candidates, calls for the U.S. to invade Mexico have the twin benefits of making them look tough while also potentially appealing to Republican voters in the Trump faction. But these calls also betray three sad truths about U.S. foreign policy generally, and Republican foreign policy in particular.

Georgia is a country constantly stuck between Europe and Russia.

Soon after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Georgia applied for membership in the EU. But it’s becoming increasingly unclear whether the current government under the Georgia Dream party is genuinely interested in joining the bloc. Some argue that, to the contrary, the party is intent on putting Georgia fully in Russia’s orbit.

In Germany, the far right party AfD is often considered anti-democratic.

The vicious debate around claims that Hubert Aiwanger—the leader of the Freie Wahler party and deputy head of the Bavarian government—circulated antisemitic pamphlets as a high schooler almost 35 years ago illustrates how shallowly tensions over historical memory are buried in Germany and how quickly they can resurface.

Steam rises from the cooling towers of the nuclear power plant in Nogent-sur-Seine, France.

The debate over how to reduce the risk of nuclear catastrophe focuses on nuclear weapons as a Doomsday threat. That impedes an alternative view of the relationship between the nuclear era and global human security—namely, that peaceful nuclear technology can be a solution to a global security threat: the climate crisis.

Argentina wants to use the US dollar more even as BRICS doesn't.

At last month’s BRICS summit, the government of Argentina promised to join the organization, which hopes to de-dollarize the global economy. That same week, however, Argentine voters made it clear that come October, they’ll elect a president who opposes joining BRICS and will increase the use of the dollar at home.

Ukraine's war with Russia entered a new phase with a counteroffensive.

In early June, Ukrainian forces launched a long-anticipated, large-scale counteroffensive into Russian-controlled territory in the eastern portions of Ukraine. From the beginning, the fog of war surrounding developments on the ground has been thick, raising understandable questions, perhaps most importantly: Is it succeeding?

A protest against the government response to the Easter Bombings in Sri Lanka.

Rumors of a conspiracy behind the April 2019 Easter Bombings in Sri Lanka have swirled since the attacks took place, even after the Islamic State took responsibility. Now, a documentary claiming that people close to Sri Lanka’s powerful Rajapaksa family were involved in the bombings is turning up the temperature on the accusations.

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