Strategic HorizonsThough it is hard to identify a Trump Doctrine at this point, Donald Trump’s responses to the challenges that he has faced suggest a pattern. Put simply, it is to punish adversaries’ provocations with measured military force, but do little more to change their behavior. This seems simple but has immense implications.
Steven Metz Friday, April 21, 2017
World CitizenMahmoud Ahmadinejad’s decision to run in Iran’s presidential election caught most observers by surprise. Whatever happens with Ahmadinejad, however, the true significance of the election has less to do with the presidency than with the post of supreme leader, which is out of reach for the former president.
Frida Ghitis Thursday, April 20, 2017
Balance of PowerThis weekend’s election in France will showcase a political system that seems incapable of delivering the change needed to save it. The same dynamic can be seen in Washington and in most of the world’s global governance institutions: Reform may be necessary, but it is politically impossible to achieve.
Judah Grunstein Wednesday, April 19, 2017
Measured ResponseU.S. President Donald Trump, like many citizens, has been a casual consumer of information from sources of questionable authority. Do his recent policy reversals mean he is learning to trust experts more? And if so, will he influence his followers, who trust unreliable sources more than science and scholarship?
Ellen Laipson Tuesday, April 18, 2017
Diplomatic FalloutFrench President Francois Hollande’s domestic approval ratings were so dire that he chose not to run for a second term. But France has managed to maintain an outsized role in multilateral diplomacy and conflict management on his watch. He departs just as his brand of Gallic globalism faces an existential crisis.
Richard Gowan Monday, April 17, 2017
Strategic HorizonsWithout admitting it, U.S. President Donald Trump largely continued Barack Obama’s military policy in the Middle East during the opening months of his administration. But after a chemical attack against civilians by the Syrian military, Trump ordered a retaliatory strike. Suddenly his once-clear policy was in turmoil.
Steven Metz Friday, April 14, 2017
World CitizenIt is perhaps apt that the man who brought a desperately needed reprieve to Latin America’s left is named Lenin. Lenin Moreno, who won Ecuador’s presidential election, now has the daunting task of not only moving his country forward, but salvaging the left’s once-promising but now crumbling project in the region.
Frida Ghitis Thursday, April 13, 2017
Balance of PowerTwo years into his presidency, Donald Trump is most often dismissed when he is not simply ignored by the rest of the world. And while the United States and the world have certainly changed, in most ways both have simply soldiered on, inured to the supposedly existential threat Trump represented to both.
Judah Grunstein Wednesday, April 12, 2017
Measured ResponseThe U.S. missile attack on the Syrian airbase from which the chemical attack on Khan Sheikhoun was launched was a clear win for the Trump administration on several fronts. But it doesn’t guarantee a successful new Syria strategy. It’s still worth considering how to make the intervention a more transformative event.
Ellen Laipson Tuesday, April 11, 2017
Diplomatic FalloutAfter 100 days on the job, U.N. Secretary-General Antonio Guterres has shown himself to be an energetic leader. But he has had a run of very bad luck indeed. The number and variety of crises that have sprung up around the U.N. since the start of the year is remarkable. But even worse situations may lie ahead.
Richard Gowan Monday, April 10, 2017
Strategic HorizonsDuring the Cold War, the U.S. wrestled with the “friendly dictator” dilemma. After the Soviet Union’s collapse, the problem was not resolved but faded as authoritarian regimes gave way to nascent democracies. Now, as the world is torn by the struggle against violent extremism, the dilemma is back.
Steven Metz Friday, April 7, 2017