Iranian fans at the start of Iran and China's World Cup qualifying soccer match at the Azadi Stadium in Tehran, Iran, March 28, 2017 (AP photo).

Two events in recent years have dramatically changed the nature of politics in Iran: Hassan Rouhani’s victory in the 2013 Iranian presidential election and the signing of the nuclear agreement between Iran and six world powers in July of 2015. Like United Nations Security Council Resolution 598, which ended the Iran-Iraq War in 1988 and deeply reordered the political regime in Iran, the nuclear deal presaged a new era of Iranian politics. Despite its initial popularity, the deal has gradually become a source of tension across the mainstream ideological spectrum. As a result, the political scene in Iran after the […]

From left to right, Iranian President Hassan Rouhani, Parliament Speaker Ali Larijani and Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei at a conference on Palestine, Tehran, Iran, Feb. 21, 2017 (AP photo by Ebrahim Noroozi).

Only a few months ago it was the conventional view that regional dynamics in the Middle East were working in Iran’s favor. By this account, Tehran was accumulating growing influence through its direct or indirect involvement in the region’s crises and conflicts, buoyed by the confidence born of sanctions relief after the nuclear agreement with the international community. But the picture is not so clear today. In fact, other regional trends involving Russia, the new administration in Washington, and Israel might be converging to put Iran on its back foot. The geopolitics of the Middle East are moving too fast […]