The Bangsamoro peace process in the Philippines is fragile.

Four years after the Philippine government signed a peace accord with an Islamic militant group establishing an autonomous region in the country’s southern province, a tense encounter between the group and government forces has highlighted the fragility of the peace process leading up to the region’s first elections in 2025.

Singaporean Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong

Though Singapore’s political environment is considered only “partly free,” the long-dominant ruling People’s Action Party has also enjoyed genuine popular legitimacy. Now, though, a series of corruption scandals have shattered the party’s reputation for unbending integrity, even as the PAP faces credible challengers at the ballot box.

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When Myanmar’s ruling military announced last week that it was issuing a partial pardon for opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi, it seemed a sign that the regime might be preparing to loosen its grip and perhaps even compromise with the opposition. That optimistic interpretation, however, is being rejected by many Myanmar observers.

In Southeast Asia, declining democracy could mean a declining economy.

In the 1990s and early 2000s, Southeast Asia seemed to offer a model for democratization for other developing countries. But today the region is a long way from that promising period, with the state of democracy in dire shape. It seemed by 2020 that things couldn’t get worse. And yet, in the past few years, they have.