Russian Mercenaries Won’t Make a Bad War Worse

Russian Mercenaries Won’t Make a Bad War Worse
Russian servicemen ride a military vehicle along a road near the border with Ukraine, in Crimea, Russia (Sputnik photo by Konstantin Mihalchevskiy via AP).

News headlines this week warned that Russia is recruiting mercenaries to scale up its operations in Ukraine. Some 16,000 fighters from Syria and other Arab states have already volunteered, joining the hundreds of Russian mercenaries that were already reportedly operating in Ukraine. The whiff of guns-for-hire was seen as a sign that an even more ruthless phase of the conflict may be ahead. But considering how states have used privatized force in the past, it seems unlikely that mercenaries will introduce any risk factors that could make the conflict much worse than it already is. That says something both about the current state of the war in Ukraine, and about the larger dynamics surrounding the use of mercenary forces.

Using mercenaries or privatized force is of course not a new phenomenon in warfare, and it is not new for Russia. There has been a recent resurgence in states turning to privatized force to support their war efforts, which began during the United States’ wars in Iraq and Afghanistan. U.S. and other coalition partners hired private security companies to do everything from guarding bases and prisons, to training police, to providing the U.S. military with intelligence and technical or logistical support. By the numbers, private security companies would have been the second-largest contingent operating in Iraq, exceeded only by the U.S. military.

Russia was a bit slower to jump on this trend, only turning more significantly to Russian private security firms and mercenaries with its engagement in Syria starting in 2013, and then with its takeover of Crimea from Ukraine in 2014. Since then, Russian private security companies and mercenaries have popped up in as many as 30 countries since 2014. But the way that Russia uses private security companies and mercenaries—both of which are illegal under Russian law—is different from the Western outsourcing seen in Iraq and Afghanistan, and therefore produces different risks.

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