With six months until the U.S. midterm elections, it’s time for planning, panic or musing, depending on where you sit, about how they will affect U.S. foreign policy. Democratic Party bravado about retaking the House of Representatives is gone. Instead, the topical question has now become, Will the GOP take back the Senate, and if so, then what?
On domestic policy, the “Then what?” question has been framed as an either-or: Will GOP senators, especially the presidential hopefuls among them, want to run in 2016 on achievements, which, for immigration or tax reform, require cooperation with the White House? Or would they be better served by two more years of all-out opposition?
Foreign policy, if the GOP retakes the Senate, is not going to follow either of those scripts, which will make things really interesting.