Former U.S. President Donald Trump.

With every passing day, 2024 looks more like a hinge year in history. Every year is crucial, and unexpected events can reroute the course of history at any moment. And yet, there are good reasons to believe that this is, in fact, a more important than average year in the trajectory of global events.

A campaign poster for Taiwan’s presidential election.

2023 was marked by the worst of international politics. Conflict, famine and refugee flows were all at record highs. Those trends will continue into 2024. But it is notable that 2024 also offers a litmus test for gauging how populations around the world are responding to those crises: A record number of global elections.

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