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Iranians celebrate a framework agreement on their country’s nuclear program between the Islamic Republic and six world powers, Tehran, Iran, April 3, 2015 (AP photo by Vahid Salemi).

Nuclear Deal Could Reshuffle Political Deck in Iran and Beyond

Monday, April 6, 2015

The framework agreement announced last week by Iran and the P5+1 states—the United States, Britain, France, Russia, China and Germany—on how to regulate Tehran’s nuclear enrichment program faces many obstacles before it can be finalized as a formal accord by the self-imposed June 30 deadline. To survive the onslaught of spoilers on all sides, however, the permanent deal will need to be sound not only on the technical level, in terms of the verifiable limits it places on Iran’s nuclear enrichment capability, but also on the political level.

Nevertheless, the successful outcome of the talks in Lausanne, Switzerland has revived the momentum of the negotiations for the administrations of U.S. President Barack Obama and Iranian President Hassan Rouhani, both of whom have invested much political capital in the process. Between the initial November 2013 interim agreement, renewed twice, and last week, talks had been losing steam, giving opponents to a deal on both sides time and opportunity to undermine them. ...

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