World Citizen: Saudi Arabia and Iran Face Off in Bahrain

World Citizen: Saudi Arabia and Iran Face Off in Bahrain

If there is one thing we have learned from the events of the last few weeks, it is to expect the unexpected and to at least consider the possibility that worst-case scenarios will materialize. No one could have predicted that in a matter of a few hours the world's third-largest economy would suffer a triple disaster -- a massive earthquake, a devastating tsunami and a slow-motion nuclear nightmare -- just as no one expected that a fruit salesman in Tunisia would trigger a chain reaction of uprisings in the Middle East.

Nassim Taleb called these high-impact, low-probability events Black Swans, and if there is another such transformative development in the offing, it just might be taking place in the tiny island-state of Bahrain.

Bahrain is a sectarian faultline between Muslim Sunnis and Shiites, located within a few miles of both Iran and Saudi Arabia. It is a place where a face-off between the two regional rivals could occur, with devastating global consequences.

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