There is a depressing chance that both Syria and Myanmar will be able to declare victory over their internal opponents. In both cases, the resulting “peace” will be chaotic. But these crises threaten to upset some of the basic norms that have grown up around the resolution of civil wars in the post-Cold War era.
Now that the Islamic State is mostly uprooted in Syria, observers are wondering what the next stage in Syria’s complicated war will bring. In neighboring Lebanon, the conflict’s reverberations have the potential to explode, turning already simmering tensions between Hezbollah and Israel into yet another war.