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It’s Time to Start Thinking About a Non-JCPOA Middle East

In Iran, posters and nuclear weapons as a new JCPOA deal is negotiated
Posters of Gen. Qassem Soleimani are seen in front of Iranian missiles on display prior to second anniversary of Soleimani’s assassination, Tehran, Iran, Jan. 7, 2022 (AP photo by Vahid Salemi).

Once again, the fate of the Iran nuclear agreement is in limbo. While in theory a deal is still possible, in practice, the longer the negotiations to revive it drag out, the more difficult it will be for both sides to compromise. With that in mind, it’s worth revisiting the question of what a no-deal future might look like.

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