The Uneven Global Response to Climate Change
Recently published climate science ultimately underscores the same points: The impacts of climate change are advancing faster than experts had previously predicted, and they are increasingly irreversible. One blockbuster report, from a United Nations grouping of biodiversity experts in May 2019, found that 1 million species are now in danger of extinction unless dramatic changes are made to everything from fuel sources to agricultural production. Despite these warnings, however, scientists confirm that the world remains on pace to blow past the goal of restricting warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels, likely with catastrophic consequences.
Persistent climate skepticism from key global figures, motivated in part by national economic interests, is slowing diplomatic efforts to systematically address the drivers of climate change. In particular, former U.S. President Donald Trump’s decision to pull out of the Paris climate agreement upon taking office immediately undermined the pact. Despite these hurdles, negotiators made substantive progress during a U.N. climate change conference in December 2018, putting in place an ambitious system of monitoring and reporting on carbon emissions for nations that remain part of the agreement. But the latest round of talks in December 2019 ended in abject failure, and the coronavirus pandemic hobbled further diplomatic efforts in 2020.
The Paris agreement has nevertheless proved more resilient than many initially feared after the U.S. withdrawal. The European Union, Japan and South Korea all pledged to achieve carbon-neutral economies by 2050; China announced a target of achieving carbon neutrality by 2060. And in one of his first moves upon taking office, President Joe Biden issued an executive order returning the U.S. to the Paris agreement. He further signaled his commitment to high-level climate diplomacy by naming former Secretary of State John Kerry as his climate envoy and convening a summit of the leaders of major emitting countries, at which he announced the U.S. would double its emissions reduction target to 50 percent by 2030.
Whether renewed American leadership on the issue will be enough to break through some of the obstacles facing climate diplomacy remains to be seen. In the meantime, frustration with the slow progress and persistent challenges toward achieving increasingly urgent targets has spurred newfound activism, particularly among young people. The Fridays for Future movement, with its coordinated student walkouts to demand action on climate change, has become the face of this wave of protests and may prove a political threat to parties that downplay climate action. The gains made by Green parties in the European Parliament elections in May 2019, as well as in a series of national and local elections in Europe since then, show just how potent a voting issue climate change can be.
WPR has covered climate change in detail and continues to examine key questions about what will happen next. Will Fridays for Future upend existing political orders and usher in new, climate-focused leaders? Will climate-friendly initiatives feature prominently in post-pandemic economic recovery plans? And will the Biden administration’s climate diplomacy have a meaningful impact? Below are some of the highlights of WPR's coverage.
Our Most Recent Coverage
COVID-19 has already dealt the Sustainable Development Goals a massive blow. But these pandemic setbacks pale in comparison to the long-term challenges that climate change presents for meeting basic human needs and advancing global prosperity, social welfare and environmental conservation through the end of the decade and beyond.
Climate Change Politics and Diplomacy
The global political effort to address climate change moved ahead, despite the United States’ withdrawal from the Paris agreement under Trump. But it is unclear if global leaders will ever agree to measures that rise to the level of what is needed. Success hinges particularly on the continued participation of major emitters, including India and China, which is not guaranteed. The effort will receive a much-needed boost now that Biden has moved quickly on recommitting U.S. leadership and resources to the effort. But whether the U.S. and the world will match words with actions remains uncertain, especially amid the ongoing coronavirus pandemic.
- Why it’s so hard to generate the necessary urgency to tackle climate change, in The Climate Crisis Is Rooted in the Human Condition
- How a new movement advocating for aggressively phasing out the use of fossil fuels could shake up climate change diplomacy, in An Alternative to Climate Change Gradualism Is Taking Shape
- What climate change diplomacy misses when it comes to Africa, in African Development Can’t Be a Casualty of Climate Change Policy
- Why Biden will have his hands full following through on his emissions promises, in Biden’s Ambitious Climate Pledge Puts U.S. Credibility on the Line
Impact, Mitigation and Adaptation
The developing world is actually leading the way on mitigation and adaption efforts. Morocco has invested heavily in solar power. India has implemented a moratorium on any new coal plants. And Uruguay’s transition to renewables can serve as a global model. It’s no surprise that some of the most ambitious mitigation and adaptation efforts are coming from countries that are most immediately menaced by the effects of climate change. But those efforts are often constrained by limited resources and the unwillingness, for now, of developed countries to help fund them.
- What the latest IPCC report on the state of climate change tells us about our possible futures, in The Long-Awaited Climate Emergency Is Now
- Why the EU might have trouble reaching its ambitious targets on emissions reductions, in Europe Is Unprepared for a Tougher Climate Future
- What recent protests in Iran reveal about the Middle East’s lack of preparedness for the impacts of climate change, in Protests in Iran Point to the Middle East’s ‘Water Bankrupt’ Future
- How the EU is planning to reach net zero by 2050, in The EU’s New Climate Law Lays the Groundwork for Net Zero
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Editor’s note: This article was originally published in June 2019 and is regularly updated.