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President Donald Trump listens during a session at Ford’s Rawsonville Components Plant, Ypsilanti, Michigan President Donald Trump listens during a session at Ford’s Rawsonville Components Plant, which is now manufacturing personal protection and medical equipment, Ypsilanti, Michigan, May 21, 2020 (AP photo by Alex Brandon).

Can the U.S. ‘Return to Normal’ After Trump and COVID-19?

Wednesday, May 27, 2020

Six months after the emergence of the novel coronavirus in Wuhan, China, and four months after it became a global outbreak, its political and economic fallout continue to take shape. As government policies adapt and evolve in real time to the changing features of the pandemic, so too do the geopolitical implications.

So far, three scenarios have been advanced with regard to COVID-19’s potential impact on the international order. They can be broadly characterized as a change at the top, in which a triumphant and capable China replaces the bungling U.S. as the world’s dominant power; a descent into multipolar chaos, in which neither an inwardly facing and incompetent America nor a thin-skinned and bullying China manages to fill the global leadership vacuum; and a restoration, in which a revitalized America successfully rallies its allies and partners to reassert its leadership of the post-pandemic recovery. ...

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