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Chinese Defense Minister Wei Fenghe and U.S. Defense Secretary Jim Mattis review an honor guard during a welcome ceremony in Beijing, June 27, 2018 (AP photo by Mark Schiefelbein).

Mining History for the Warning Signs of America’s Next Major War

Friday, June 29, 2018

Over the past few decades, the U.S. military has had to shift its focus several times as the security environment and American national interests evolved. Until the end of the Cold War, it concentrated on preparing to fight the Soviet Union, potentially with nuclear weapons. In the 1990s, most of the military’s attention was on conventional wars against what were called “rogue states,” particularly Iran, Iraq and North Korea. After the 9/11 attacks, the U.S. military retooled for counterinsurgency and counterterrorism. Now that era, too, is ending.

Today, as the United States disengages from Iraq and Afghanistan, and Russia and China expand their military capabilities, the American military is again preparing for conventional war. The driving idea in Washington is that U.S. military dominance deters potential adversaries. “The surest way to prevent war,” according to the 2018 National Defense Strategy, “is to be prepared to win one.” ...

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