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The Chinese naval frigate Huangshan is seen anchored in the waters off RSS Singapura Changi Naval Base, Singapore, May 15, 2017 (AP photo by Wong Maye-E).

How to Know When China Is Pulling Even With the United States

Friday, March 2, 2018

In a recent article in Foreign Affairs, Kurt Campbell and Ely Ratner—both former senior officials in the Obama administration—noted that over the past 45 years, “neither carrots nor sticks have swayed China as predicted.” From Richard Nixon on, American presidents believed that U.S. diplomacy and military power could “persuade Beijing that it was neither possible nor necessary to challenge the U.S.-led security order in Asia.” But that didn’t prove true. Today, as Campbell and Ratner note, “China is on the path to becoming a military peer the likes of which the United States has not seen since the Soviet Union” and is using its power to challenge the United States.

This is a dangerous trend. If China’s ascent and America’s current decline continue, China’s ability to not just compete with U.S. influence but displace it will rise too. It is vital that Americans recognize the indicators that China is passing them by. ...

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