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March 16, 2010
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Thomas P.M. Barnett

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Thomas P.M. Barnett is senior managing director of Enterra Solutions LLC and a contributing editor for Esquire magazine. His latest book is "Great Powers: America and the World After Bush" (2009). His weekly WPR column, The New Rules, appears every Monday. Reach him and his blog at thomaspmbarnett.com.

Articles written by Thomas P.M. Barnett

The New Rules: West Must Bridge Globalization's 'God Gap'

By Thomas P.M. Barnett 15 Mar 2010 | World Politics Review A recent report issued by the Chicago Council on Global Affairs highlights an enduring but growing "God Gap" between America's conduct of foreign policy and the increasingly religious world beyond the West. The report decries Washington's "uncompromising Western secularism" as a self-imposed obstacle to engagement of religious actors in emerging economies and failed states -- and rightfully so.

The New Rules: 'Senator's Son' a Good Window into COIN

By Thomas P.M. Barnett 08 Mar 2010 | World Politics Review Congress' most prominent military vets hail from the Vietnam era, which has led many to instinctively reject the necessity and utility of nation-building and counterinsurgency. Clearly, our lengthy interventions in Iraq and Afghanistan will alter this generational equation, but how will the experiences of today's veterans impact their votes in tomorrow's Congress? An Iraq war novel attempts to answer that question.

The New Rules: Winners and Losers in Iraq's Upcoming Election

By Thomas P.M. Barnett 01 Mar 2010 | World Politics Review The upcoming Iraqi parliamentary elections loom large in the political fortunes of so many players, both internal and external, that it constitutes a historical referendum of sorts -- not just for Iraq, but beyond as well. The election's outcome will leave winners on some fronts, losers on others, and will trigger plenty of bandwagoning by those worried about being left out or left behind.

The New Rules: America's Place in the World

By Thomas P.M. Barnett 22 Feb 2010 | World Politics Review The list of problems caused by globalization goes on and on. And yet, this is humankind's best set of problems yet, because within them lie the seeds of future successes -- but only if we maximize our definitions of "us" and narrow our definitions of "them." For starters, that means getting past our current fear-driven agenda and accepting that many of the solutions will be locally derived and not globally mandated.

The New Rules: A Bad Time to Wreck Our Relationship with China

By Thomas P.M. Barnett 15 Feb 2010 | World Politics Review Many of the course corrections President Barack Obama has made in U.S. foreign policy merely extended or expanded upon those made during the last two years of the Bush administration. But now, in responding to growing populist anger, Obama seems dangerously intent on re-vectoring what was arguably George W. Bush's smartest and most sophisticated endeavor: U.S.-China bilateral relations.

The New Rules: China in Africa Means Frontier Integration

By Thomas P.M. Barnett 08 Feb 2010 | World Politics Review As one of the "last in" on globalization's bandwagon, China has naturally become an aggressive integrator of frontier economies. Nowhere is this expansion more apparent, and controversial, than in sub-Saharan Africa, where Chinese foreign direct investment and trade have increased several-fold in the past half-decade. That has triggered rising strategic interest in a region long-ignored by the West.

The New Rules: Why China Will Not Bury America

By Thomas P.M. Barnett 01 Feb 2010 | World Politics Review If the 2008 Olympics were China's big coming-out party, and 2009 the year that Beijing merely managed to save global capitalism with its rapid -- and accurate -- stimulus package, then one might assume 2010 holds even better things in store for the People's Republic. But China's "golden moment" is slipping away, and fast. In short, time is most definitely on our side.

The New Rules: The Fallacy of an Increasingly Dangerous World

By Thomas P.M. Barnett 25 Jan 2010 | World Politics Review It's taken as gospel by most pundits today that we live in an increasingly dangerous, deadly and unstable world. In retrospect, the Cold War has even taken on a nostalgic hue, reminding us of simpler, more manageable times. This creed is a complete lie, unforgivably peddled by fear-mongering "experts" as a way to justify their mindless schemes.

The New Rules: Drugs, Technology and the Coming Bio-Revolution

By Thomas P.M. Barnett 18 Jan 2010 | World Politics Review We are heading toward a world in which pharmaceutically enhanced living will be the norm throughout life, and not just among the chronically impaired and the elderly. While there's plenty of upside potential here, one significant challenge will be developing and enforcing a complex set of rules regarding who can do what while using which drugs.

The New Rules: Globalization's Next Wave of Integration

By Thomas P.M. Barnett 11 Jan 2010 | World Politics Review Thanks to the recent global financial crisis, we've heard much talk about the coming "de-globalization." Increasingly, deals no longer seem to suffice: Direct ownership is now desired. That may appear to signal de-globalization, but if it suggests anything, it is actually a deepening of connectivity -- dashed horizontal lines replaced by solid vertical ones.

The New Rules: The Naughties Were Plenty Nice

By Thomas P.M. Barnett 04 Jan 2010 | World Politics Review Pundits across America seem committed to the notion that our just-concluded decade deserves the moniker "worst ever," with the formulations ranging from Time's demonic "decade from hell" to Paul Krugman's self-flagellating "Big Zero." But if Krugman could call it "a decade in which nothing good happened," much of the planet might find our myopic bitterness a bit much.

The New Rules: Neocons are Alive and Kicking

By Thomas P.M. Barnett 21 Dec 2009 | World Politics Review If you thought the neocons were gone, better think again. Charles Krauthammer & Co. see no reason to surrender America's dominance to the Chinese simply because Beijing holds the pink slip on our national economy. And their mindset still animates most of what the GOP offers in opposition to President Barack Obama's magical apology tour.

The New Rules: China's Health Care Challenges Mirror America's

By Thomas P.M. Barnett 14 Dec 2009 | World Politics Review A funny thing happened on the way to China's presumed domination of the world's natural resources: It ran into the same core problem that America suffers -- namely, skyrocketing health care costs combined with too many citizens lacking access. In fact, health care reform stands at the center of both nations' efforts to address the "rebalancing" challenge revealed by last year's global financial panic.

The New Rules: Overleveraging American Foreign and Domestic Policy

By Thomas P.M. Barnett 07 Dec 2009 | World Politics Review Defense hawks are accusing Democrats of an ulterior motive in addressing health care in America: a longterm plot to curtail defense spending. This charge is at once hypocritical and correct, but not for the dark reasons ascribed to the Obama administration. Instead, the Democrats' implied plot to rebalance domestic versus foreign spending merely responds to inescapable realities.

The New Rules: The Bottom Line on Nation-Building

By Thomas P.M. Barnett 30 Nov 2009 | World Politics Review "Rebalancing" has been the watchword of President Barack Obama's foreign policy, and soon enough it will be applied to the international security burden among the world's great powers. One number explains why: It costs the U.S. $1 million a year to keep a soldier inside a theater of operations such as Afghanistan. With that as a bottom line, we must turn eastward and southward for future key allies.

The Austin Accords of March, 2031

By Thomas P.M. Barnett 24 Nov 2009 | World Politics Review AUSTIN, Texas -- Official representatives from the Tejas Confederation, the Northern Alliance of Mexican States, and the U.S. government signed a comprehensive treaty that will immediately "re-admit" the Tejas states to the American union, and submit to Congress formal pleas for new statehood on behalf of Baja California, Sonora, Chihuahua, Coahuila and Nuevo Leon.

The New Rules: Choosing Your 'Religion' for These Complex Times

By Thomas P.M. Barnett 23 Nov 2009 | World Politics Review The world today is experiencing an "awakening" of religious fervor, one triggered by globalization's rapid expansion around the planet over the past three decades. As the fear of assimilation takes hold in the global middle class, everybody wants to know, Who's running the show, and to what end? But when it comes to explaining the teleology of globalization, religions face significant secular competition.

The New Rules: Obama's Nuclear Focus at Odds with Rooseveltian Roots

By Thomas P.M. Barnett 16 Nov 2009 | World Politics Review By prioritizing economics above terrorism and climate change, President Barack Obama has begun to reorient America's grand strategy impulse back to its Rooseveltian roots. The one area where Obama has failed to maintain his pragmatic centrism is on the subject of nuclear weapons, arguably America's most successful 20th-century technological achievement.

The New Rules: Why America's War on Drugs Will Wane

By Thomas P.M. Barnett 09 Nov 2009 | World Politics Review For roughly four decades, a clear foreign policy rule set has existed between the U.S. and Latin America: U.S. foreign aid in exchange for aggressive efforts to curb illegal narcotics. By virtually all accounts, the strategy has been a massive failure. Now the old deal is off. New rules are on the way, whether we like it or not.

The New Rules: When Contractors Fill America's Foreign Policy Gap

By Thomas P.M. Barnett 02 Nov 2009 | World Politics Review Is the privatization of American development aid a case of the U.S. "outsourcing" sovereign functions, or of weak and failed states insourcing them? The question is not simply one of semantics but of directional causality: Is this stunning evolution the result of a supply-push on the part of the U.S. government or a demand-pull on the part of developing economies and failed states?