Economics and Business Articles

With Bouteflika Still Sidelined, Algeria’s Challenges Mount

By Catherine Cheney
, on , Trend Lines

While Algerian President Abdelaziz Bouteflika may return to Algeria following treatment in France for a mini-stroke he suffered in late-April, his health makes it unlikely that he will be able to stand for re-election in Algeria’s presidential ballot set for next year. Whoever does eventually succeed him will face a host of economic, societal, governance and security challenges. more

Strategic Posture Review: Mexico

By George W. Grayson
, on , Report

Mexican President Enrique Pena Nieto, like his predecessors, is eager to lessen his nation’s security, economic and trade dependence on the United States. Mexico has set its sights on expanding its global reach, both in the Asia-Pacific region and Latin America. Nevertheless, proximity, NAFTA and a web of investment, military cooperation, economic assistance and migration will continue to anchor Mexico's relations with its northern neighbor. more

Global Insights: Syria Crisis Overshadows Broader Turkey-U.S. Tensions

By Richard Weitz
, on , Column

At their White House summit last week, Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan and U.S. President Barack Obama jointly called for greater international efforts to end the Syrian civil war, though the two leaders reportedly differ on how directly the West should become involved. Meanwhile, the preoccupation with Syria has obscured unresolved sources of tension between the two countries on other issues. more

Trading Up: The Impact of Trade Liberalization on Poverty

By L. Alan Winters
, on , Feature

Does international trade liberalization reduce poverty? The question is an important and relevant one. It was high on the agenda in the late-1990s and after a decade or so of quiescence it is starting to worry policymakers again. Fortunately, it permits a fairly definite answer, one that surprises many people. While there clearly are exceptions, the answer is “in the long run and on average, almost always, yes, trade liberalization reduces poverty.” more

Obama’s Mexico Trip Yielded Progress, Missed Opportunities

By Eric Farnsworth
, on , Briefing

President Barack Obama’s trip to Mexico to meet with Mexican President Enrique Pena Nieto was an effort to recast the perceived priorities of the bilateral agenda from security to economic issues. The two leaders announced a cabinet-level economic dialogue, education exchanges and a few other related activities. These initiatives are certainly worthy, but the leaders missed an opportunity to think bigger. more

Global Insights: On First U.S. Visit, South Korea’s Park Has Vital Agenda

By Richard Weitz
, on , Column

South Korean President Park Geun-hye is currently in the United States, where she will meet with President Barack Obama at the White House, attend a special dinner to commemorate the 60th anniversary of the U.S.-South Korean alliance and address a joint session of Congress, among other activities. She will also travel to New York and Los Angeles, but not to other countries, underscoring the trip’s significance. more

Despite Past Successes, Indonesia Faces Major Challenges to Achieve Potential

By Fergus Hanson
, on , Briefing

It’s little wonder that corporate executives and governments the world over have begun to take a closer look at the opportunities on offer in Indonesia. But even Indonesia’s most fervent boosters are often disappointed by the country they so desperately want to succeed. Because despite all the opportunities Indonesia promises, it’s going to have to overcome significant obstacles to realize its potential. more

Socialism With Cuban Characteristics: Part II

By William M. LeoGrande
, on , Briefing

The real test of Cuba’s reform process under President Raul Castro will come in the state sector, which still employs most of the labor force and produces more than 80 percent of GDP. The goal is to modernize the sector to make it more efficient. But the government’s political will to follow through on reforms, and the social and political consequences they may have, remain open questions. more

Socialism With Cuban Characteristics: Part I

By William M. LeoGrande
, on , Briefing

Since becoming president, Cuba’s Raul Castro has been on a crusade to bring the country’s economy into the 21st century, and he has not hesitated to blame its failures on Cuba's policies, rather than the U.S. embargo. Having already built political capital with popular measures to reduce excessive regulation, the government is now carrying out a much more profound reorganization of the Cuban economy. more

To Maintain Growth, Africa Must Improve Governance

By Scott B. MacDonald
, on , Briefing

Africa’s relatively rapid growth rates, improved fiscal and debt management and improving political stability are forming an image of a “rising Africa” ripe for international investment. And despite remaining high risks, global investors increasingly find Africa’s potential returns compelling. But the looming question is whether Africa’s growth spurt and related investor interest are sustainable. more

Japan Looks to Reinvigorate Africa Policy

By Jonathan Berkshire Miller
, on , Briefing

While they may not garner the same headlines as China’s energy politics in the region or U.S. counterterrorism work in the Horn of Africa and the Sahel, Japan’s efforts across Africa are increasing in depth and scope. As the dynamic states of Africa continue to evolve and develop a range of international partnerships, Tokyo should keep its eye trained on maintaining a strong economic presence on the continent. more

The Active Pariah: Zimbabwe's 'Look East' Policy

By Jeremy Youde
, on , Feature

In 2012, Foreign Policy and the Fund for Peace ranked Zimbabwe the fifth most likely country to fail. Yet, despite its numerous challenges, Zimbabwe has not collapsed, and Robert Mugabe continues to maintain his grip on power. With elections expected during 2013, all indications suggest that Mugabe will run for re-election and win. How is a country whose government is seemingly so isolated from the rest of the world able not just to survive, but to prosper? more

Feeling the Heat: Belarus' Constrained Diplomacy

By David R. Marples
, on , Feature

Belarus’ options in foreign policy have become increasingly constrained by human rights issues on the one hand, and its need for foreign investment and external loans to keep afloat its struggling economy on the other. How Belarus chooses to navigate these trade-offs will determine whether a rapprochement with the EU is possible or whether it will instead move irrevocably into the sphere of Russia, thereby losing some of the autonomy it has enjoyed since independence in 1991. more

Nigeria’s Fault Lines Threaten Jonathan’s Presidency

By Alex Thurston
, on , Briefing

Now nearing the midpoint of his first full term in office, Nigerian President Goodluck Jonathan will count on the advantages of incumbency and party dominance in seeking another term when Nigeria votes again in 2015. Yet insecurity, corruption and stalled policy implementation have provoked broad criticism, and the remainder of his term is likely to be characterized by high levels of political tension. more