Editor’s note: This is the first of a two-part series that uses current trends in the Chinese political economy to forecast the outcomes and implications for China under the fifth generation of Communist Party leadership. Part I examines a best-case scenario. Part II will examine a worst-case scenario.
SHANGHAI -- As China approaches its once-a-decade senior leadership transition, structural weaknesses in the country’s economic model are becoming more apparent, even as the momentum surrounding progressive reforms appears to be incrementally increasing. A best-case scenario for China under the fifth-generation Communist Party leadership assumes a continuation of both trends, with the net result being a reinvigoration of the Chinese economy and accelerated social development. These changes in turn allow China to assume a position of global leadership as a benign new superpower whose rise has an overwhelmingly positive impact on global affairs. ...
To read the rest, sign up to try World Politics Review
Sign up for two weeks of free access with your credit card. Cancel any time during the free trial and you will be charged nothing.
Request a free trial for your office or school. Everyone at a given site can get access through our institutional subscriptions.
- World Citizen: U.S. Frets as Key Allies Flock to Join China’s AIIB
- The Realist Prism: U.S. Outreach to Iran, Cuba Still Lacks Broader Strategic Framework
- The Realist Prism: To Avert Decline, U.S. Must Accept Reality of Multipolarity
- Global Insights: For U.S., Dividing China, Russia in Central Asia Easier Said Than Done
- Global Insights: Spoilers Emerge as Iran Nuclear Talks Reach Delicate Endgame