Editor’s note: This is the first of a two-part series that uses current trends in the Chinese political economy to forecast the outcomes and implications for China under the fifth generation of Communist Party leadership. Part I examines a best-case scenario. Part II will examine a worst-case scenario.
SHANGHAI -- As China approaches its once-a-decade senior leadership transition, structural weaknesses in the country’s economic model are becoming more apparent, even as the momentum surrounding progressive reforms appears to be incrementally increasing. A best-case scenario for China under the fifth-generation Communist Party leadership assumes a continuation of both trends, with the net result being a reinvigoration of the Chinese economy and accelerated social development. These changes in turn allow China to assume a position of global leadership as a benign new superpower whose rise has an overwhelmingly positive impact on global affairs. ...
To read the rest, sign up to try World Politics Review
- TWO WEEKS FREE.
- Cancel any time.
- After two weeks, just $11.99 monthly or $94.99/year.
Request a free trial for your office or school. Everyone at a given site can get access through our institutional subscriptions.
- With Reforms, China’s Xi Seeks Course Correction, not Power Grab
- Diplomatic Fallout: Bold or Not, Next U.N. Secretary-General Faces World of Pain
- After U.S.-China Climate Deal, India Feels the Heat on Growing Emissions
- The Realist Prism: Even After Midterms, Obama Faces Hard Choices on Energy, Climate
- Global Insights: Hagel Launches New U.S. Defense Initiatives to Address Old Problems