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November 20, 2009
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The New Rules: The Growing Global Middle Class and Its Demands

Thomas P.M. Barnett | Bio | 07 Sep 2009
World Politics Review

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In what some experts are calling the third great wave of outsourcing -- after manufacturing and services -- cash-rich Arab and Asian governments are buying up arable farmland (read: water rights) all over the developing world. Naturally, the worst-case artists in my field of national security see only one possible outcome: a long, steady decline into a chaotic, Mad Max-like dystopia, characterized by that favorite of the alarmist set -- resource wars.

Get used to such predictions, as today's still-stunning production inefficiencies are mechanically projected deep into the future, despite all indications of a biological revolution looming just over the horizon. In grand strategy terms, it's the intellectual equivalent of making a sow's ear out of a silk purse. ...

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